Demand Planning Manager

• Own the monthly SKU/retailer forecasting process, applying statistical forecasting models (e.g., exponential smoothing, causal/regression-based methods) alongside market and retailer-specific inputs

• Own the monthly SKU/retailer forecasting process, applying statistical forecasting models (e.g., exponential smoothing, causal/regression-based methods) alongside market and retailer-specific inputs
• Lead new product forecasting, including initial sell-in projections, launch phasing, post-launch tracking, and category contribution analysis
• Assess new launch impact on existing products for cannibalization risk or complementary growth
• Own forecast accuracy and bias metrics (e.g., WAPE/MAPE) against defined targets; drive root-cause analysis and continuous improvement
• Assess actual sell-through vs. plan, identify variance drivers, and translate findings into forward forecast revisions

• Participate in S&OP and business review forums, presenting demand insights, scenario analyses, and tactical recommendations to senior stakeholders

• Participate in S&OP and business review forums, presenting demand insights, scenario analyses, and tactical recommendations to senior stakeholders
• Develop close working relationships with key retailers, providing inventory feedback and collaborating on joint forecasting where applicable

• Own end-to-end product lifecycle planning, including phase-in/phase-out timing and inventory risk mitigation at end-of-life

• Own end-to-end product lifecycle planning, including phase-in/phase-out timing and inventory risk mitigation at end-of-life
• Provide input to Supply Planning on inventory strategy discussions
• Leverage AI/ML-driven forecasting and analytics tools to improve forecast accuracy, automate routine analysis, and surface demand insights faster, while applying business judgment to validate, adjust, or override AI-generated forecasts to ensure they reflect market reality

• 6-8 years of experience within Demand Planning, Sales Planning, or Supply Chain preferred

• 6-8 years of experience within Demand Planning, Sales Planning, or Supply Chain preferred
• Strong Excel skills required; Vanguard experience a plus
• Proven track record owning forecast accuracy metrics and driving measurable improvement
• Strong analytical skills with high attention to detail and the ability to translate data into clear, actionable insights for senior stakeholders
• Experience with demand planning/ERP systems (e.g., SAP IBP, Kinaxis, O9, Anaplan) and BI tools (e.g., Tableau, Power BI)
• Working knowledge of sales strategy and brand positioning
• Flexible, adaptive mindset with the ability to operate in a fast-paced, evolving environment
• Cosmetics or Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) industry experience strongly preferred

• Salary range: $80,000-100,000 (Compensation will depend on a variety of factors, including but not limited to skill level, relevant work experience & education)

• Salary range: $80,000-100,000 (Compensation will depend on a variety of factors, including but not limited to skill level, relevant work experience & education)
• Medical, dental, vision, 401K plan & access to health & wellness programs
• Paid vacation, holidays, summer Fridays, birthdays off, volunteer time & more
• Makeup gratis, employee discount on tarte.com, team give back initiatives
• Friendly, fun, creative & collaborative work environment